Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Real Business Cycles Theory
Research on economic fluctuations has progressed rapidly since Robert Lucas revived the profession’s interest in business cycle theory. Business cycle theory is the theory of the nature and causes of economic fluctuations The new Classical paradigm tried to account for the existence of cycles in perfectly competitive economies with rational expectations. It emphasized the role of imperfect info...
متن کاملReal Business Cycles
A. Topics and Tools ............................................................................ 1 B. Walrasian vs. Keynesian Explanations of Business Cycles ........................ 3 Why do we have multiple theories of business cycles? ....................................................... 3 Classification of business-cycle models ................................................................
متن کاملResuscitating Real Business Cycles
The Real Business Cycle (RBC) research program has grown spectacularly over the last decade, as its concepts and methods have diffused into mainstream macroeconomics. Yet, there is increasing skepticism that technology shocks are a major source o f business fluctuations. This chapter exposits the basic RBC model and shows that it requires large technology shocks to produce realistic business cy...
متن کاملReal Business Cycles
If the benchmark model without frictions can replicate the stylized facts of the business cycle, the cycles may be just an efficient phenomenon generated by markets in response to certain shocks, such as, for example, productivity shocks. Furthermore, if markets are complete and individuals can diversify risk, Lucas (1987) calculated the welfare cost of the aggregate fluctuations to be negligible.
متن کاملReal-time Prediction and Synchronization of Business Process Instances using Data and Control Perspective
Nowadays, in a competitive and dynamic environment of businesses, organizations need to moni-tor, analyze and improve business processes with the use of Business Process Management Systems(BPMSs). Management, prediction and time control of events in BPMS is one of the major chal-lenges of this area of research that has attracted lots of researchers. In this paper, we present a...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0169-2070
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.06.006